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on Feb 9, 2013
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Herd Immunity Demonstration
I've found multiple graphs that show many different timelines. This page has a very similar graph at the very bottom that gives a reference.
https://wiki.ecdc.europa.eu/fem/w/fem/line-graphs.aspx
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Search:
https://wiki.ecdc.europa.eu/fem/w/fem/line-graphs.aspx