There are a couple of things that human’s in general are bad at, and intuition is unhelpful, even if you are otherwise an intelligent, learned person. Two I see pop up a lot are Statistics and Systems Thinking. In particular with Systems Thinking, people tend to assume that things that have a simple clear relationship at the scale they operate in, will have the same effect when applied at the scale of the system as a whole. Which is quite often not the case.