I think you're still thinking about it wrong. Once you have a hydraulic press that can stamp 600 copies of some die per hour, you are no longer hiring for blacksmiths. You're hiring for someone that knows how to operate the machine safely and maintain it as well as verify the quality of the output.
If you have a press that can produce 600 copies of some die and you are hiring a blacksmith, you're probably not going to get good results.
I'm not "thinking about it wrong", I'm saying that I don't like the analogy. Of course all analogies are imperfect, and I get that LLMs greatly accelerate the production of code, but here's the gap: code is not the product. Code is the instruction for the actual machines, and crucially, code is already repeatable and replicable.
In the software world a blacksmith is analogous someone crunching numbers in a spreadsheet. Programmers (combined with hardware engineers) are the ones that are creating the hydraulic presses. LLMs are analogous to CAD, a better tool-building tool to be sure, but at the end of the day if you're stamping out code in a way that an LLM can do it reliably, then you already have a problem that was automatable without an LLM, which code can already do.
If you have a press that can produce 600 copies of some die and you are hiring a blacksmith, you're probably not going to get good results.