I’m actually really amazed by LLMs and think the world is going to change dramatically as a result.
But the “you won’t need to code” reminds me “you won’t need to learn to drive”.
It’s the messy interface with the real world in both cases that basically requires AGI.
If AGI is just a decade off then, yep, I won’t need to code. But a decade is a long time and, more importantly, we’re probably more than a decade away.
And even if it is “just round the corner”, worrying about not needing to code would be worrying about deckchairs on the titanic. AGI will probably mean the end of capitalism as we know it, so all bets are off at that point.
It’s wise to hedge a little but also realise that to date AI is just a coding productivity boost. The size of the boost depends on how trivial the code is. Most of the code I write isn’t trivial and AI is fairly useless at that, certainly it’s faster and more accurate to write it myself. You can get a 50% boost if you’re writing boiler plate all day, but then you have to wonder why you’re doing that in the first place.
+1 for the titanic analogy. If there ever comes a point that we no longer need to learn to code, I’m taking that as a sign that I’m literally living in a matrix-esque simulation.
The point at which someone like myself is allowed to become aware that a company has developed that level of AI is well beyond the point of no return.
But the “you won’t need to code” reminds me “you won’t need to learn to drive”.
It’s the messy interface with the real world in both cases that basically requires AGI.
If AGI is just a decade off then, yep, I won’t need to code. But a decade is a long time and, more importantly, we’re probably more than a decade away.
And even if it is “just round the corner”, worrying about not needing to code would be worrying about deckchairs on the titanic. AGI will probably mean the end of capitalism as we know it, so all bets are off at that point.
It’s wise to hedge a little but also realise that to date AI is just a coding productivity boost. The size of the boost depends on how trivial the code is. Most of the code I write isn’t trivial and AI is fairly useless at that, certainly it’s faster and more accurate to write it myself. You can get a 50% boost if you’re writing boiler plate all day, but then you have to wonder why you’re doing that in the first place.