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Turn this on its head: if people with higher IQs drink more, people who drink more have higher IQs. While correlation doesn't imply causation, the hypothesis that drinking alcohol makes you clever cannot automatically be ruled out.


"IQ scores obtained when 8,170 boys and girls were 10 years old and their alcohol intake and any problems when they were 30 years old."

[I'm assuming not many of them were heavy drinkers in kindergarten. Go on, call me naive]


So p -> q /= q -> p. Aren't there a lot of things you can't rule out?




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