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The way I'm hearing it was not a failure but an unbelievable smashing success. No one expected the rocket to get to the launchpad, much less off of it. The second stage was not expected to be reached at all, it's cool that they even tried. Greatest test launch of all time. From what I've read this morning if the test flight had worked all the way it would be like man on moon levels of good.


Eh, if SpaceX had genuinely not expected the rocket to get off the launch pad, they would not have launched it.

I expect their math was something like:

95% chance of enough engines lighting to launch 90% chance of clearing launch pad 60% chance of making 60 seconds of flight 30% chance of 2nd stage separation 15% chance of re-entry


I did sense a bit of sarcasm in the GP post. Not sure if you did too?


I didn't, but that's probably on me. Sigh.




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