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At least in the markets, the NASDAQ is down roughly 30% YTD.


Which is still 50% up from 3 years ago and 80% up from the "crash" of 2018


Right, but financial markets are forward-looking (or "leading economic indicators"). They don't encode the current state, they encode a consensus prediction for some time period in the future. In this case, the stock market is pricing in a sharp downturn in profits (and margins) over at least the next few quarters, and I don't believe it's even finished.




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