They likely don't have a great deal of confidence they can manage it, and all the potential results are kinda shitty for them.
In the past week, one of our subs crashed into something. We're like a year removed from one of the Navy's own ships randomly blowing up in similar circumstances. I imagine the Navy's would estimate something like an 80% success rate at best.
Then look at if they succeed. Most of the world will be unaware of what they've done, a significant portion will be pissed at them for intervening in a war to steal $80 million in oil, and in the future countries will try to pawn off their potential disasters to the Navy.
Or if they fail, they will end up getting the bulk of the blame for the failure and the resulting catastrophe, the Houthis will get a huge amount of sympathy, and the Navy will have another red mark that likely includes US personnel casualties. And from the sounds of it, one remote controlled firework could make them seem responsible too.
They likely don't have a great deal of confidence they can manage it, and all the potential results are kinda shitty for them.
In the past week, one of our subs crashed into something. We're like a year removed from one of the Navy's own ships randomly blowing up in similar circumstances. I imagine the Navy's would estimate something like an 80% success rate at best.
Then look at if they succeed. Most of the world will be unaware of what they've done, a significant portion will be pissed at them for intervening in a war to steal $80 million in oil, and in the future countries will try to pawn off their potential disasters to the Navy.
Or if they fail, they will end up getting the bulk of the blame for the failure and the resulting catastrophe, the Houthis will get a huge amount of sympathy, and the Navy will have another red mark that likely includes US personnel casualties. And from the sounds of it, one remote controlled firework could make them seem responsible too.