Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

Would you please point out the fallacy?


Bifurcation


I did not present a false choice between two options, I only defined what an alarmist is. I regard alarmists as an extreme on the spectrum of forecasters.

Bifurcating would have been saying that everyone is either a superforecaster or an alarmist, and I never said that.

You may not agree with me, but that doesn't mean that I fell into a logical fallacy.


If someone does not make specific and testable predictions which turn out to be right, they are useless alarmists.

This conversation doesn't seem like it's going to go anywhere productive.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: