What would cause it to crash down again? Seems like virus spread is slowing and were not going to see the insane number of deaths being predicted during last crash. Travel industry might be hurt for a year but most people will likely just have an even bigger vacation this winter or next summer
No one can know, but a lot of business won't recover. That means sustained unemployment for a long period of time. I think it is not fully understood how interconnected small businesses are. Those unemployed people are don't have money to support a bounce back of other business. We'll see how 2020 plays out.