Last year it looked obvious that we were heading to streaming of on-demand digital video as the primary means of delivery. Although that may still be where we are heading, I see dark clouds in our future.
The "TV vs. On-Demand" comparison (if that was what Mr. Graham was referring) is less an issue now. I propose that what few saw then as a problem, is a looming one now. In other words, it's not so much "TV vs. Streaming/On-demand/digital/or whatever." It's that the old players, "TV", are now positioning (and are by far in the lead) to control the digital streaming of video from the internet.
Huge, deep pocket, long established trades, corporations, and/or markets are not supposed to gain control of emerging trades and markets. That is for new business to handle, and by which new business come into their own. (by advantage of being more lean, fast, knowledgeable about new tech/markets, better in-tune, etc) So that eventually the greatest of those new business's themselves become dinosaurs and are so replaced. This way business, knowledge, and technology progress.
Not to say that a "dinosaur" could not have this effect. Just less likely, and the likelihood I suspect will mathematically decay over time. (as the corporation becomes larger and less agile)
This happens every time: new technology disrupts existing players, which in turn try to use their money / influence to do something about it. Then skilled people fight back with newer innovations.
News at 11.
For example, do you know how easy it is to bypass China's firewall?
(1) setup free usage tier AWS account
(2) start a new instance with one of the official Ubuntu images
(3) ssh -D 2000 ubuntu@<instance-ip>
(4) enjoy personal US-based SOCKS5 proxy ;)
The only problem with DRM is that you're prohibited by law to reverse engineer it, which means totally-legit software can be baned if not following certain guidelines (like security by obscurity) ... otherwise I'm all for DRM because it's fundamentally flawed and it's keeping them busy (like a dog chasing its tail).
Netflix is responsible for about 1/5 of peak internet traffic in the US, and it's growing much faster than TV viewership. It doesn't take a rocket surgeon to figure out how that equation ends up.
The "TV vs. On-Demand" comparison (if that was what Mr. Graham was referring) is less an issue now. I propose that what few saw then as a problem, is a looming one now. In other words, it's not so much "TV vs. Streaming/On-demand/digital/or whatever." It's that the old players, "TV", are now positioning (and are by far in the lead) to control the digital streaming of video from the internet.
Huge, deep pocket, long established trades, corporations, and/or markets are not supposed to gain control of emerging trades and markets. That is for new business to handle, and by which new business come into their own. (by advantage of being more lean, fast, knowledgeable about new tech/markets, better in-tune, etc) So that eventually the greatest of those new business's themselves become dinosaurs and are so replaced. This way business, knowledge, and technology progress.
Not to say that a "dinosaur" could not have this effect. Just less likely, and the likelihood I suspect will mathematically decay over time. (as the corporation becomes larger and less agile)