I agree on some points about the missuse of AI particularly for surveillance, military and propaganda.
But this reads like a post further glazing Mythos, and we are just one or two years away "trust us guys", and similar to Mistral's policy plea "please use AI everywhere or we are going to be left behind".
I had the hardest time accepting one of his first points that LLMs could barely write a line of code 4 years ago.
ChatGPT 3.5 was reasonable at code writing but hallucinated a lot of library functions. Yes we have better harnessing today, and models have been further finetunned with reallife code, but pushing this argument just to support his exponential narrative is deceptive. Like most AI marketing.
This is downvoted, but the industry does want people to use such an approach. For example see IBMs Granite Guardian model which is targetted at this usecase.
If it is that much better in practice I'll await confirmation through some kind of research paper before building even more stacked layers of LLMs.
Dividing by 12 you still have the same problem. They're projected numbers as opposed to real ones as well as being grossly skewed by any short term fluctuations.
Divide both by 12 and you do not get the projected numbers. You get monthly revenue, a real measured number. It is the number being reported * 12 when they state a new ARR.
E.g. When Anthropic stated $1B ARR (an extrapolated value) what they were actually reporting is $(1/12)B Monthly revenue. If it helps their current monthly revenue is 47 times that, for a grand total of $(47/12)B per month in revenue.
Yes it is the current monthly revenue which is a projected number as far as the other 11 months go. That's fine if the overall economy has low volatility, your sector is well established and predictable, and your company isn't undergoing any significant changes. Absolutely none of that applies to the frontier AI labs.
That is one reason why I, at least try to, check the label and avoid products with non-EU ingredients.
Also one of my worries with the mercusour trade deal. And any deal that involves meat imports from the US, with specific laxer regulation requirements (at least what Trump would like).
Individual voices aren't strong enough to drown the marketing machine.
Artists and writers are unionized, why they have a more powerful collective voice.
Second, there are enough peole for which their jobs are very well paid and too cozy to dare to rock the boat.
The economy and job market isn't so hot either at the moment for people to quickly be able to jump ship.
Can you even be sure that you find a tech company that isn't jumping head first onto the AI hype train? Even politicians can't have enough of AI in their mouth.
"European sunscreens are safer than American (2024)" https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48503940
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