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I think I agree only partially, ofc people tend to over-react to change, however I do think as apple has grown they have become more careful in the ways that matter. I like that they are still pushing things with liquid glass and trying and failing, thats not the issue. But where is my trifold? Where is the folding iPhone? Or some sort of Dex mode? I Think they've stopped pushing the edge of whats possible and I think thats only natural, since they are worth so much money a single product managers messup could cost them millions if not billions, when thats the case its only natural to stop experimenting and play it safe, every incentive will push you towards that from D&O insurance, to activit shareholders even the increased media scrutiney.


I think like most things the internet 'ate' SF now you can work remote and most importantly start new companies remotely. OFC scale, capital and in-person still matter, but Australia, UK, Germany, Spain, all now have significant tech hubs, with VC scale capital, decent talent pipelines and same access as everyone else. Its only a matter of time over the next few cycles as more and more future 'big tech' comes from elsewhere in the world.


Hard disagree . They might be good as incubators, but no one comes close to the us in terms of scaling and access to capital.


"Access to capital" meaning "Forced to work on MBA-infected bullshit because that's all that gets funded."

I suspect the answer is a bootstrap economy - small businesses that are actually small, growing sustainably but not trying to be unicorns, freezing out the VC clown show as a matter of policy.

It's not as if there aren't plenty of pain points that could do with fixing outside of web/social marketing and corporate colonisation.


And in Europe it's different ? It's the same just with much lower sums


> I think like most things the internet 'ate' SF now you can work remote and most importantly start new companies remotely.

Absolutly. I used to work in SF. My startup is remote and we operate in europe. slack + regular meetups is all we need.


I am sad to hear about your exp. and I think I understand where you're coming from but is the same also not true of most other jobs? I think the big advantage of a 'screen job' is less pressure on your body, alot of plumbers for example end up with bad knees and back issues.


Yea, I hate to break it to OP, but for almost every job you can take, when you peel back the onion, all you are doing is making already-rich shareholders even richer. The entire world is structured so that the vast majority of us participate and contribute towards the outsized enrichment of a relative few, while the scraps go to retail investors and (less and less) to workers.


In some cases teachers are being overworked and expected to deliver far beyond their capability. The issue I see here is that its Powerpoint / document generation AI tools often use older / cheaper / worse models e.g. 4o mini, instead of Claude opus or Gemini 2.5 pro. The second issue it is often hard for the original prompter to see issues in AI output, so another pair of eyes or a different LLM prompt with more context can often pick up most issues. I dont think AI use for teachers is going anywhere, we should work with the flow on this one and help teachers do their jobs more easily.


On crime they most centrically do, watch the China Show (not the bloomberg one) on youtube. One example given on the show is that Once you go into northern villages and small towns you start seeing propganda posters on why you shouldn't take drugs. Homelessness is widespread and present too but you just wont see it in city centers more on the outstkirts.


Police in cities will beat homeless people and get them back on buses to where their hukou is, so the homeless that remain are very good at hiding. Hostile architecture is also very common in China. But there is a lot of sub quality housing (eg in sub-basements that lack windows or good ventilation) that allow much of the working poor to at least be technically housed even in expensive cities (many restaurants also provide housing for their staff in the dining area after closing, or did at least 20 years ago). The outskirts used to have more slums than they had today in Beijing, most of the slums have moved into sub-basements as far as I can tell (called the “ant tribe”).

Crime really is much lower than it was a decade ago. People have more money, societal trust is higher. Drug use in clubs has always been a thing, but China differs from the USA in that their is no social support at all for addicts (so they either get clean with help from their family or they die).


Do not watch it please unless you want to consume worldview-distoring propaganda and become more ignorant as a result. It's made by 2 American expats who gotten kicked out of China when visa-requirements were tightened, and no-skill immigrants were no longer welcome.

They've become anti-China youtubers serving the hungry China-hating audience on how China is bad and a paper tiger.

Instead watch this guy (https://www.youtube.com/@Awakening_Richard). I'm not saying he's unbiased, either, but he's thoughtful and I think he brings insight into how the Chinese intelligentsia thinks about how the world works.

But back to your point - it's oft repeated that Chinese population decline will destroy China in the long run and poverty in Chinese society.

He made a video on this exact issue.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pdRH7aPWGGc

The TLDR version is that about half of the Chinese population lives in desperate poverty (and are economically invisible), and just a couple decades ago 90+% of Chinese lived like this. One cannot bring about a transformation into an industrialized wealthy lifestyle overnight, but coming from the experience of the past decades, the Chinese have been remarkably effective in this, and the following decades will see these people lifted up to modern societal standards as well.

By this alone, one can conservatively expect a doubling of Chinese GDP, as there will be twice as many consumers and laborers who consume and work at the level of the current workforce.

This also means that China has a huge and high marginal utility domestic demand for goods, and even if sanctioned, they wont run of people to sell to.


I think reddit is the best among a very large selection of poor choices. Where else could you go?


Lemmy has been growing quite well and has a passionate userbase. It's still microscopic compared to Reddit, but it has great apps and scratches the itch for me.


So long as you stay away from anything politics (including news!). They are extremely left wing - the developers believe the Chinese communist party can do no wrong. There are instances that are not quite that bad, but they are still very left wing and make central or right wing positions unwelcome.

There are some good tech communities there.


The developers of the platform are tankies, but instances other than lemmy.ml and Hexbear are more normal. Left-leaning, yes, but I also unsub from politics communities and have a block list of a few words (you can probably assume what those are) to prevent those things from getting through.


The politics are so bad that I think people should stay away from Lemmy period. It's like saying it's fine to create a Xitter account these days as long as you stay away from politics.


I hardly noticed, and I've been on Lemmy for nearly two years. I think it depends on which instance you sign on to. But a) you can filter out certain topics, users and even entire instances from your feed, and b) you can always sign up to a different instance if you still feel annoyed for whatever reason. For example, I left lemmy.world when it turned into some sort of Reddit clone.


Private discord servers for everything nowadays.

The open searchable internet is dead for people trying to find community, imo.


People already left and they're in Discord. Reddit today is a shell of what it was.


You don't have to link anything but what kind of discord servers? Also the problem with discord for me is the fact that information only exists momentarily. Reddit search is bad but at least you can Google. Discord servers are basically impenetrable if you can't check it constantly


Yeah I just can’t grok discord as a replacement for message boards

It’s a chat system. It’s a very nice IRC but how are you supposed to get up to speed? I’m also feeling super out of touch with folk who use telegram as social media.

No way I’m staying connected all the time to be a regular. Too many chats and the quality of the content is not very high to be engaging


Yeah I'm not saying its a good replacement, it's actually atrocious but its already replaced reddit and is where the actual users are now.

Reddit doesn't know it yet but they're already very deep in the twilight phase of their site and it's going to start accelerating.


"It seems to have worked" I am sure he's a great manager, but whats really working for him is crazy high number of graduates and PHDs in China who are unemployed or underemployed


That would sound a lot like the languishing native STEM talent in the US if it weren't also for the fact that most of the DeepSeek team doesn't have PhDs.


The team may not have too many PHDs but they are from prestigious universities and have published many papers.

The lack of a PhD probably has more to do with the structure of Chinese education but these people were basically studying like PHDs.

https://www.firstpost.com/explainers/china-deepseek-ai-full-...


> published many papers.

China has a reputation for being a "paper mill" place though, so not sure that publishing papers has any value whatsoever as a quality indicator.


tech talent in the US is not languishing


> tech talent in the US is not languishing

Only those tech talents in the USA who are useful for some big tech agenda are not languishing.


I should clarify: the US STEM workforce has historically been very white and very male. That's the body of talent that has been languishing, and the data proves it.


tf are you talking about, share the data


A couple highlights: 94% of the job growth among Fortune 100 companies since 2020 has gone to minorities

https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2023-black-lives-matter-e...

Job growth amongst foreign born residents in the US has significantly outpaced native born job growth:

https://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2023/foreign-born-workers-were-...


because white people are 90%+ of those retiring from fortune 500s. citing this is proof of innumeracy


[flagged]


> That's a complete non sequitur. Why would it make sense for new hires to be overwhelmingly disproportionately oversampled from minority groups according to current demographics?

Because that is not what this stat is measuring. They are doing (demos of new employees - demos of retiring employees), not just demos of new employees. Hence why it is a misleading statistic. They word it very carefully to not say 94% of new hires are minorities.

> Is that a hint of racism?

I don't even know your race


> They are doing (demos of new employees - demos of retiring employees), not just demos of new employees.

Source: I made it up.


source: the "The Analysis" section of your own source or if you needed it stated more explicitly [0]:

> Before judging whether that’s impressive or excessive or some other adjective, it’s helpful to know what the available pool of new workers looked like. Or, more precisely, what the pool of new workers minus the pool of departing workers looked like. Net change is what we’re able to see.

i'm sure this will have precisely 0 impact on your worldview though

0: https://archive.is/POQnF#selection-1715.156-1715.449


since your reply died - your absolutely wrong about massive oversampling, you can get 95% with basic assumptions about 60% white, 40% minority (matching actual proportions in the population - and actually an underestimate when you consider that new hires are young) and the retiring fortune 500 population (70-90% white).

as i said, just basic innumeracy on your part


Didn't anyone involved in naming this 'Stargate' ever actually watch the series? Not a good name if you're trying to create AGI


Even more impressive given the scale of economic growth over the same time period.


You are probably right on pilot error, dont forget Boeing probably want this to be the story as well!


The 737 is one of the most popular aircraft in the world. It's had hundreds of incidents. There is no reason to think that there is any conspiracy going on, and there is not sufficient information to even think that any Boeing specific details were a factor in the incident.


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