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If this is true, than Anthropic, Google and maybe OpenAI models will keep getting better and better and everyone else will be left in the dust - as they won't have access to so much customer data.

China has proxies that sell cheaper access to frontier models in exchange for permission to train on your data.

Thers no way to not leak customer data if they try to train a bigger foundation model.

The employees are hoping to become very very rich after the IPO and after they are allowed to sell the shares given to them - risking a likely multi-million dollar pay back to leak a model that will be superseded by publicly available models in a couple of years is not a likely decision.

We are really getting close to singularity - the pace of LLM improvement is constantly accelerating.

If China switches to war time economy, they can produce very easily 1M Shahed like drones every month. Plus many millions of FPV/AI controlled drones. Plus massive number of missiles, including hyper sonic and supersonic. They can kill everyone in Taiwan with just drones and missiles if they decide to commit to it.

But given the advances that China has had in EVs, drones, solar, batteries, wind turbines, AI, nuclear energy, smartphones and other advanced industries IMHO it doesn't make sense for them to start a war right now. Better to keep growing their industry and exports and take over Taiwan sometime later.


What do you think about Cursor?


Interesting. When reading dystopian SciFi books, about a future where big corporations are above state governments and dominate the world I couldn't quite believe it. But such future becomes a lot more believable now.


> I couldn't quite believe it

Not sure how that was ever unbelievable to you. Governments are and have always been relics of the past. Systems that we all tolerate because removing them would be too big a hassle for most people who are simply content enough with things the way they are—and without the people these systems continue to endure.

It has always been a matter of time before a system more all-encompassing encompassed governments as well. Naive to think otherwise.


I don't want to downvote this because it's interesting, but the tone "you're an idiot if you don't already believe my extremely niche view" works against you.


You could not frame my impresssion of this post better.


It's frustrating as hell to hear this from people. I still get that glimmer of hope that people are coming around when they say it, then they just double-down on dismissing it as an overreaction.


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/East_India_Company

Some companies used to have a full-blown army: "...twice the size of the British Army at certain times.[5]"

Before being nationalised of course. Nationalisation is always the end-game when a corporation becomes too powerful.


The big tech is going to be one of the big winners from Internet Access Control. This will give them a more reliable way to link a user account to an actual human being - a link that can be monetized in a variety of ways. All kind of political regimes can use such regulations to enhance their control of the population. And the loosers are going to be the Internet users and small companies.

The unfortunate true is IAC is coming to most countries in the world, no matter how much the Hacker News audience hates it...


With $5k you have to make compromises. Which compromises you are willing to make depends on what you want to do - and so there will be different optimal setup.


Can even network 4 of these together, using a pretty cheap InfiniBand switch. There is a YouTube video of a guy building and benchmarking such setup.

For 5K one can get a desktop PC with RTX 5090, that has 3x more compute, but 4x less VRAM - so depending on the workload may be a better option.


VRAM vs UM is not exactly apples to apples comparison.


The governments may have by that time armies of drones and robots, controlled by a few loyal people or AI.


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