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This is some low hanging fruit that keeps getting driven by in order to speed up development. There is so so much potential here. If this can replace the RPS consulting industry I won't be unhappy. Let individuals do it themselves so they have time to work themselves into some other position or move up/take on more responsibility.

That was painful to read and acknowledge. Succinct.


The only other options are psychological or kinetic.


Why not tariffs? Basically the continuous version of discrete sanctions, that wouldn't encourage as much routing around. Tax Russian oil/gas at the max point in the Laffer (-esque) curve, with all the revenue flowing as direct aid to Ukraine.

(I know 'tariff' has become a dirty word these days to due the obvious abuse, but I swear I'm making this comment in good faith)


Because suddenly the oil isn't Russian anymore but Indian or something like that. Here's[1] an article going into how after the 2014 sanctions suddenly a lot of tropical fruits started growing in Belarussia, or how the landlocked country suddenly started exporting tons of Belarusian shrimp.

[1]: https://east-center.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/Belarus-E...


Europe kept buying Russian oil and gas, because other sources could not come online quickly enough. Tariffs would have only made energy even more expensive than it already was. Now it's mostly Hungary and Slovakia buying Russian energy, as well as some LNG imports. Those two countries are not too keen on sanctioning Russia, especially in ways that would hurt their economy. Any attempts to impose tariffs on energy imports from Russia would have led to a major internal crisis in the EU.


The US already started to pressure these two. We'll see how it goes. Ukraine could always blow up or sabotage the pipelines or some of the pumping stations if they think it's appropriate, either in Russia or on their own territory.


It’s frankly a pretty bold bet to count on these pipelines existing for years to come. It might have been smarter for Hungary and Slovakia to scramble for other sources of energy, starting March 2022.


> Europe kept buying Russian oil and gas, because other sources could not come online quickly enough

They did do sanctions, so I don't know what you're trying to argue.

> Tariffs would have only made energy even more expensive than it already was.

Not as expensive as outright sanctions, of course.

As I said - sanctions are discrete (yes or no), whereas tariffs are a continuous knob.


There were essentially no sanctions impacting Russian energy exports to Europe. Those would have hurt Europe much more than Russia. If you can't export something, the damage is proportional to the volume of the exports. But if you don't have enough energy, your entire economy suffers.

The increases in energy prices mostly came from voluntary attempts to find alternatives to Russian energy and from Russia constraining the supply.


Why would Russia voluntarily give up money by constraining the supply during the war? That makes absolutely no sense.


Coersion. A comparatively small amount of revenue being given up could scare Europe away from supplying Ukraine with materiel. The Russians put out ads about how Europe would be freezing through winter.


> Why not tariffs? Basically the continuous version of discrete sanctions

There are still some qualitative differences: With sanctions, you'll know something dodgy has occurred when you find a pallet of My Little Putin dolls traveling through the port, you don't need to call up a bunch of lawyers and accountants.

That said, I readily admit that oil is a lot more disguise-able and fungible.


Depends on the place. Live in rural Georgia (Carroll County). Within the last two years have had Spectrum fiber and Carroll EMC fiber run by the house. First is underground and second is on pole.


Have you ever wondered why each provider needs their own wire?

You could have the wire be owned by a utility and let companies compete with services?


I live in an insanely rural no-stop-light town, and they just ran 5gbps fiber outside my door. I already have 1gbps from another company.

Can't justify the 5gbps, though - it's like $170/mo + taxes.


Does anybody know what they are building yet?


"it wants to build artificial intelligence systems that are safer, more reliable and aimed at a broader number of applications than rivals".

If only I had had that idea, maybe I could have raised $2B.


They need to build a Terminator T-800 as the ultimate AI safety and a Time Machine.


And the credentials of running if you also had the credentials of being a very successful CTO at OpenAI, you might have.


I am working on a pitch deck for a startup that is going to build language models that aren't just safe and reliable but they are actually CONSCIOUS.

consciousmachines.ai

Such an obvious next step. Conscious, ethical, inclusive machines.


"I have an idea for a startup. it's like AI but BETTER. Wouldn't you like better AI? Money please!"


I heard they are building a What the hell were you thinking machine.


A a supercomputer with 65536 processors and a 16 dimensional hypercube interconnect, in a black monolithic enclosure with red blinkenlights.


Yeah, but no Richard Feynman this time around. And I was just wearing this shirt today! https://www.tamikothiel.com/cm/cm-tshirt.html


Gavin Belson Signature Edition Box 1


why are you giving away the joke


More of the same it seems. How can you deliver a product within 2 months of there is anything novel.


> How can you deliver a product within 2 months of there is anything novel

Uh, run the training script with your thoughtful modifications? They’re not welding together an LLM.


hype


This is what I expect. Theyre Not hiring even engineers. By the time they have a strategy, plan, hire, and act on that plan they will be behind the curve, and force to use the $ to acquire someone who did.


Well this is blatantly false, she linked the career page and I know of people that received offers recently.

They have very strong talent from Meta's FAIR/Pytorch teams as well as a lot of strong people from OAI.


This is wrong. they have strong engineering and a product coming this year


While you are seeing in to the future, can you tell me the Powerball numbers?


the product is announced and their hires are public


foundational models


It is literally in the article:

> "We're excited that in the next couple months we will be able to share our first product, which will include a significant open source component and be useful for researchers and startups developing custom model," CEO Murati said in a post on the X social media platform.


Is there a word (like aphorism or metaphor) for someone trying to prove a point and doing the opposite? There just has to be.


"You've just proved my point" is enough.


What are they building?


they have concepts of a product


A big, beautiful... thing.


Interesting


I agree. This is the golden tool that doesn't get the hype. Well as golden as tools get. Hope they can keep delivering. It seems to hit my personal sweet spot.


Give Cline + vscode a try. Make sure to implement the "memory bank"...see Cline docs at cline.bot


Roo Code + Roo Commander + Openrouter (connecting Gemini with Vertex AI) + Context7


"There is some evidence that exposure to nicotine, which is one of the components of cigarette smoke, can actually reduce the risk of dementia. Such reports may be useful in indicating possible research directions for drug design.

However, nicotine intake through smoking would not be beneficial. Any positive effects would be outweighed by the significant harm caused by the other toxic components in cigarette smoke." https://www.alzheimers.org.uk/about-dementia/managing-the-ri...


Nicotine is cheaply available in pill, patch and gum form.


However, nicotine intake through smoking would not be beneficial.

They are speaking generically of course, if someone was genetically predisposed, or showed other signs, it could make sense.


My niece would disagree. She loves playing violin just for the playing of it.


It's not that nobody enjoys doing anything just for its own sake—it's the destruction of ways to provide for others, socially. Humans really, really like doing that. The two things may as well be completely different activities, scratching totally different itches. No amount of solo activity will make us feel whole in the same way feeling that our abilities and passions are helpful to and desired by—not just humored by—others we care about will.


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