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1.
We scored 10k Polymarket wallets. Calibration barely predicts profit
(
convexly.app
)
4 points
by
convexly
1 day ago
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past
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discuss
2.
We tested the insider trading claim on Polymarket with Taleb-proof methods
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convexly.app
)
6 points
by
convexly
6 days ago
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past
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1 comment
3.
Show HN: I built a 2-min quiz that shows you how bad you are at estimating
(
convexly.app
)
20 points
by
convexly
14 days ago
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past
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66 comments
4.
Ask HN: Are Brier scores useful for personal decision making?
1 point
by
convexly
16 days ago
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past
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